Sometimes I have thoughts, and sometimes I write them down. You can subscribe to receive occasional updates, if you want.

2023

• 09/22 - Epistemological Frankenstein (or, does anyone take superforecasting seriously?)
• 09/06 - You need a theory for that theory
• 07/28 - On Creativity
• 06/17 - And the Lord said to Moses, I will rain down optimization from heaven
• 05/07 - Secular religion, groupishness, and ... crossfit
• 04/27 - There are no Ramanujans in Abstract Expressionism

2022

• 12/24 - The Mismeasure of Models
• 12/16 - An AI-capabilities bet with JY Koh
• 10/20 - Longtermism and the second wave of effective altruism (IAI)
• 09/10 - The commentary is all that matters (or, why nobody is actually a Bayesian)
• 08/28 - Break up big tech (departments)
• 06/26 - The case for replacing peer-review with preprints and overlay journals

2021

• 06/09 - The False Philosophy Plaguing AI (Towards Data Science)
• 01/04 - Cliodynamics and the Dangers of Prophesy (Conjecture Mag)

2020

• 12/30 - When unprecedented times meet unprecedented opportunities (GWWC)
• 12/20 - Strong Longtermism, Irrefutability, and Moral Progress (EA Forum)
• 12/18 - Pascal's Mugging and Bad Explanations (Conjecture Mag)