Sometimes I have thoughts, and sometimes I write them down.

The Mismeasure of Models	Dec 2022
An AI-capabilities bet with JY Koh	Dec 2022
Longtermism and the second wave of effective altruism (IAI)	Oct 2022
The commentary is all that matters (or, why nobody is actually a Bayesian)	Sep 2022
Break up big tech (departments)	Aug 2022
The case for replacing peer-review with preprints and overlay journals	Jun 2022
The False Philosophy Plaguing AI (Towards Data Science)	Jun 2021
Cliodynamics and the Dangers of Prophesy (Conjecture Mag)	Jan 2021
When unprecedented times meet unprecedented opportunities (GWWC)	Dec 2020
Strong Longtermism, Irrefutability, and Moral Progress (EA Forum)	Dec 2020
Pascal's Mugging and Bad Explanations (Conjecture Mag)	Dec 2020